Sport Picks
Mrkonjic Grad vs Zvijezda 09 Prediction & H2H Stats
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 Gradski Stadion Luke, Mrkonjic Grad 
Match Events
43'
43'
Petkovic V.
46'
46'
Sub
Gavric A. In: Radulovic J.
Out: Gavric A.
56'
56'
Kitic D.
AI Match Summary
The Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 game between Mrkonjic Grad and Zvijezda 09 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zvijezda 09.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mrkonjic Grad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zvijezda 09 come out ahead of Mrkonjic Grad on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Mrkonjic Grad's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Zvijezda 09 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mrkonjic Grad Clean Sheet 14%
Zvijezda 09 Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mrkonjic Grad | Zvijezda 09 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Zvijezda 09
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Zvijezda 09 vs Mrkonjic Grad
1:0
May 13, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Zvijezda 09 vs Mrkonjic Grad
1:0
Oct 14, 2022 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Zvijezda 09
0:3
Apr 7, 2018 Prva Liga - RS
Mrkonjic Grad vs Zvijezda 09
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mrkonjic Grad Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Zvijezda 09 Compare
Top Goalscorer Markovic B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mrkonjic Grad 75 / 100
Zvijezda 09 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mrkonjic Grad Zvijezda 09
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mrkonjic Grad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mrkonjic Grad found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Zvijezda 09's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Mrkonjic Grad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Zvijezda 09
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mrkonjic Grad
(Home) 31 May
Kozara
3 : 1 Mrkonjic Grad
24 May
Mrkonjic Grad
3 : 0 Sloboda Novi Grad
17 May
Romanija Pale
2 : 2 Mrkonjic Grad
14 May
Mrkonjic Grad
2 : 1 Zeljeznicar Banja Luka
10 May
Slavija
3 : 1 Mrkonjic Grad
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Mrkonjic Grad
3 : 0 Sloboda Novi Grad
14 May
Mrkonjic Grad
2 : 1 Zeljeznicar Banja Luka
07 May
Mrkonjic Grad
0 : 1 Zvijezda 09
26 Apr
Mrkonjic Grad
4 : 0 Kozarska Dubica
12 Apr
Mrkonjic Grad
1 : 2 BSK Banja Luka
Page 1 of 3
Zvijezda 09
(Away) 03 Oct
Sutjeska Foca
0 : 0 Zvijezda 09
26 Sept
Zvijezda 09
1 : 2 Slavija
23 Sept
Nevesinje
2 : 1 Zvijezda 09
19 Sept
Zvijezda 09
1 : 4 Leotar
11 Sept
Romanija Pale
2 : 0 Zvijezda 09
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
Sutjeska Foca
0 : 0 Zvijezda 09
23 Sept
Nevesinje
2 : 1 Zvijezda 09
11 Sept
Romanija Pale
2 : 0 Zvijezda 09
02 Sept
Potkozarje
3 : 2 Zvijezda 09
25 Jul
Sloboda Tuzla
6 : 0 Zvijezda 09
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laktasi | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 90:24 | 81 |
| 2 | BSK Banja Luka | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 67:39 | 71 |
| 3 | Rudar Prijedor | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:21 | 66 |
| 4 | Zvijezda 09 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 46:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Sloboda Novi Grad | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 49 |
| 6 | Slavija | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53:42 | 47 |
| 7 | Famos Vojkovici | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40:35 | 46 |
| 8 | Sutjeska Foca | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 42:55 | 46 |
| 9 | Leotar | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 42:29 | 45 |
| 10 | Romanija Pale | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36:32 | 44 |
| 11 | Zvornik | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Kozara | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Nevesinje | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:58 | 42 |
| 14 | Drina Visegrad | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 37:59 | 42 |
| 15 | Zeljeznicar Banja Luka | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Ljubic Prnjavor | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:62 | 40 |
| 17 | Mrkonjic Grad | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 44:61 | 34 |
| 18 | Kozarska Dubica | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 29:88 | 16 |
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