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MS Kafr Qasim vs Beitar Petah Tikva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. Beitar Petah Tikva go into this one as the clear favorite. MS Kafr Qasim have averaged 1.04 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Beitar Petah Tikva's 4 scored and 0 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.29 - 1.63) back Beitar Petah Tikva to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MS Kafr Qasim
25%
Draws
35%
Beitar Petah Tikva
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: MS Kafr Qasim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • MS Kafr Qasim have won more games recently than Beitar Petah Tikva.
  • Model gives Beitar Petah Tikva a 35% chance of winning this.
  • MS Kafr Qasim have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
MS Kafr Qasim Clean Sheet 14%
Beitar Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MS Kafr Qasim Beitar Petah Tikva
Matches Played 27 1
Wins 6 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 13 0
Goals Scored 1.04 4
Goals Conceded 1.37 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MS Kafr Qasim 27 / 100
Beitar Petah Tikva 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MS Kafr Qasim Beitar Petah Tikva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Petah Tikva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MS Kafr Qasim found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

MS Kafr Qasim has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Beitar Petah Tikva let in goals in 0% of their last 1 matches.

Scoring Trends

MS Kafr Qasim VS Beitar Petah Tikva
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MS Kafr Qasim

(Home)
16 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
09 Oct
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 1
Yehuda
01 Oct
H. Raanana
1 : 2
MS Kafr Qasim
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Page 1 of 6

Beitar Petah Tikva

(Away)
12 Oct
Gissin Petah Tikva
0 : 4
Beitar Petah Tikva

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
MS Kafr Qasim -
TBD -
Gissin Petah Tikva 0
Beitar Petah Tikva 4
Hapoel Arad 1
Kfar Saba 1928 3
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Kiryat Yam -
H. Raanana -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3
FC Shefa-Amr 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 2
Beitar Mevaseret Zion 1
Hapoel Tayibe 2
Hapoel Daliyat 4
Hapoel Akko -
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MS Tira 3
Maccabi Maalot 2
Yehuda -
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SC Ashdod -
FC Dimona 2
Bnei Yehud 0
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H. Ironi Rishon -
Hapoel Yarka 0
Beitar Nahariya 1
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Hapoel Afula -
Maccabi Jaffa -
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Ironi Modiin -
Ironi Nesher 2
Kiryat Haim 0
Ramat Hasharon 2
Bnei Eilat 0
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
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Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
Hapoel Rahat FC 1
Hapoel Sderot FC 4
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M. Nazareth -
Hapoel Karmiel 2
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona 0
H. Herzliya 0
Hapoel Azor 1
Nof Hagalil 4
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0
Bnei Herzliya 0
Maccabi Yavne 1
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1/32-finals
MS Kafr Qasim -
Beitar Petah Tikva -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Kiryat Yam -
H. Raanana -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Hapoel Daliyat -
Hapoel Akko -
MS Tira -
Yehuda -
SC Ashdod -
FC Dimona -
H. Ironi Rishon -
Beitar Nahariya -
Hapoel Afula -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Ironi Modiin -
Ironi Nesher -
Ramat Hasharon -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
M. Nazareth -
Hapoel Karmiel -
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Nof Hagalil -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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