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MS Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Afula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MS Kafr Qasim host Hapoel Afula in the Leumit League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. MS Kafr Qasim have averaged 1 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Hapoel Afula's 1.25 scored and 1.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Hapoel Afula slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.25, favoring Hapoel Afula. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
MS Kafr Qasim
20%
Draws
46%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives MS Kafr Qasim a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
MS Kafr Qasim Clean Sheet 19%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MS Kafr Qasim Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs MS Kafr Qasim
2:0
Jan 30, 2026 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Afula
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs MS Kafr Qasim
0:4
May 16, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs MS Kafr Qasim
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs MS Kafr Qasim
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MS Kafr Qasim 36 / 100
Hapoel Afula 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MS Kafr Qasim Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MS Kafr Qasim scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Hapoel Afula let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: MS Kafr Qasim remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MS Kafr Qasim VS Hapoel Afula
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MS Kafr Qasim

(Home)
23 Oct
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 1
SC Ashdod
16 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
09 Oct
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 1
Yehuda
01 Oct
H. Raanana
1 : 2
MS Kafr Qasim
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
23 Oct
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Hapoel Afula
16 Oct
Hapoel Afula
0 : 0
M. Herzliya
09 Oct
Ironi Modiin
1 : 2
Hapoel Afula
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 11 9 1 1 23:8 28
2 Yehuda 11 8 3 0 26:9 27
3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 11 7 2 2 26:18 23
4 H. Ironi Rishon 11 6 3 2 19:13 21
5 H. Raanana 11 6 1 4 22:14 19
6 Kiryat Yam 11 6 1 4 28:21 19
7 Hapoel Afula 11 5 3 3 18:15 18
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina 11 5 2 4 20:14 17
9 MS Kafr Qasim 11 4 1 6 13:12 13
10 Hapoel Kfar Saba 11 4 0 7 17:24 12
11 Kiryat Gat 11 2 5 4 11:13 11
12 M. Nazareth 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
13 Ironi Modiin 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
14 M. Herzliya 11 2 3 6 9:14 9
15 Maccabi Jaffa 11 3 0 8 8:22 9
16 Hapoel Akko 11 0 1 10 0:28 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)