Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MS Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Afula

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Silva A.
52' Event
Sarsur A.
55' Event
Ipole P.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between MS Kafr Qasim and Hapoel Afula finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Afula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MS Kafr Qasim
20%
Draws
40%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on MS Kafr Qasim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
MS Kafr Qasim Clean Sheet 15%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MS Kafr Qasim Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs MS Kafr Qasim
2:0
Jan 30, 2026 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Afula
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs MS Kafr Qasim
0:4
May 16, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs MS Kafr Qasim
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs MS Kafr Qasim
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MS Kafr Qasim Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarsur A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ipole P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MS Kafr Qasim 41 / 100
Hapoel Afula 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MS Kafr Qasim Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

MS Kafr Qasim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

MS Kafr Qasim's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

MS Kafr Qasim VS Hapoel Afula
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MS Kafr Qasim

(Home)
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
07 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 0
Ironi Modiin
30 Aug
H. Ironi Rishon
2 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
31 Aug
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
H. Raanana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 17 9 4 67:32 60
2 M. Herzliya 30 14 8 8 45:35 50
3 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 14 7 9 48:36 49
4 H. Ironi Rishon 30 13 9 8 43:33 48
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 13 8 9 51:47 47
6 Yehuda 30 12 8 10 34:37 44
7 Kiryat Yam 30 13 7 10 43:37 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 11 8 11 38:39 41
9 H. Raanana 30 10 8 12 29:36 38
10 Maccabi Jaffa 30 10 7 13 50:50 37
11 Hapoel Afula 30 9 9 12 32:48 36
12 MS Kafr Qasim 30 8 10 12 34:39 34
13 Nof Hagalil 30 6 14 10 37:45 32
14 Ironi Modiin 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
15 Hapoel Akko 30 6 13 11 32:42 31
16 Hapoel Hadera 30 4 11 15 32:48 23
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)