Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MS Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Israel Israel

State Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Agu C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with MS Kafr Qasim advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
MS Kafr Qasim
28%
Draws
22%
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: MS Kafr Qasim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Hapoel Kfar Saba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • MS Kafr Qasim are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Hapoel Kfar Saba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Kfar Saba, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hapoel Kfar Saba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
MS Kafr Qasim Clean Sheet 68%
Hapoel Kfar Saba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MS Kafr Qasim Hapoel Kfar Saba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs MS Kafr Qasim
1:0
Jan 15, 2026 State Cup
MS Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
0:2
Mar 17, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs MS Kafr Qasim
1:0
Nov 11, 2024 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MS Kafr Qasim Compare

Top Goalscorer Agu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hapoel Kfar Saba Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MS Kafr Qasim 59 / 100
Hapoel Kfar Saba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MS Kafr Qasim Hapoel Kfar Saba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MSK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MS Kafr Qasim scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Hapoel Kfar Saba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: MS Kafr Qasim stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

MS Kafr Qasim VS Hapoel Kfar Saba
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MS Kafr Qasim

(Home)
25 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
19 May
H. Raanana
2 : 2
MS Kafr Qasim
15 May
MS Kafr Qasim
2 : 2
Maccabi Jaffa
11 May
MS Kafr Qasim
1 : 1
Nof Hagalil
05 May
MS Kafr Qasim
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Kfar Saba

(Away)
17 Jul
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Jaffa
25 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 1
Hapoel Ramat Gan
20 May
M. Herzliya
1 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba
15 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
11 May
Kiryat Yam
2 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tirat Karmel0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1
Nes Tziona1
Hapoel Karmiel2
Maccabi Bnei Raina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Shalem-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Hadera-
TBD-
Hapoel Sderot FC2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba1
Hapoel Jerusalem-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm7
FC Beer Sheva0
TBD-
Kiryat Yam-
Beitar Haifa0
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod5
TBD-
Hapoel Ramat Gan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shmona-
Ironi Tiberias-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Yehuda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Afula-
TBD-
Tzeirey Um El Fahem0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3
M. Herzliya-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Akko-
Kfar Saba 19282
Maccabi Yavne0
TBD-
H. Ironi Rishon-
Maccabi HaSharon Netanya1
Bnei Jaffa4
Jerusalem FC6
Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Netanya-
Sakhnin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Jaffa-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Ashdod-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Haifa-
Jadeidi-Makr5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1
TBD-
H. Raanana-
Kiryat Haim1
Hapoel Yarka2
Kfar Kama0
Kiryat Gat1
Ironi Modiin-
TBD-
M. Nazareth2
Beitar Ramat Gan1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Haifa-
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil0
Shimshon Tel Aviv2
TBD-
MS Kafr Qasim-
Shikun Hamizrah0
Holon Yermiyahu5
TBD-
Nof Hagalil-
Ironi Or Yehuda1
FC Dimona3
TBD-
Maccabi Petah Tikva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Saba-
1/32-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva-
TBD-
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1
Hapoel Karmiel4
Maccabi Bnei Raina-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Shalem-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
Hapoel Hadera3
Hapoel Sderot FC4
Hapoel Jerusalem-
TBD-
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2
Kiryat Yam1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2
Hapoel Ramat Gan3
TBD-
Shmona-
Ironi Tiberias-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Yehuda-
TBD-
Hapoel Afula2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3
M. Herzliya2
Hapoel Akko0
Kfar Saba 19281
H. Ironi Rishon0
Bnei Jaffa1
Jerusalem FC0
TBD-
Netanya-
Sakhnin-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Jaffa-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Ashdod-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Haifa-
Jadeidi-Makr0
H. Raanana1
Hapoel Yarka0
Kiryat Gat4
Ironi Modiin1
M. Nazareth3
TBD-
Maccabi Haifa-
Shimshon Tel Aviv0
MS Kafr Qasim2
Holon Yermiyahu1
Nof Hagalil0
FC Dimona1
Maccabi Petah Tikva0
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Saba-
1/16-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
Hapoel Karmiel1
Maccabi Bnei Raina1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Sderot FC1
Hapoel Jerusalem2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm0
Hapoel Ramat Gan2
Shmona3
Ironi Tiberias1
Beitar Jerusalem2
Yehuda2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik1
M. Herzliya4
Kfar Saba 19281
Bnei Jaffa0
Netanya6
Sakhnin0
Maccabi Jaffa2
Hapoel Tel Aviv3
SC Ashdod0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Hapoel Haifa0
H. Raanana4
Kiryat Gat3
M. Nazareth1
Maccabi Haifa8
MS Kafr Qasim3
Holon Yermiyahu1
FC Dimona1
Hapoel Kfar Saba3
1/8-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Maccabi Bnei Raina2
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Jerusalem1
Shmona0
Beitar Jerusalem2
Yehuda1
M. Herzliya0
Netanya0
Maccabi Jaffa2
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
H. Raanana0
Maccabi Haifa1
MS Kafr Qasim1
Hapoel Kfar Saba0
Quarter-finals
Maccabi Bnei Raina0
H. Beer Sheva3
Beitar Jerusalem1
Yehuda2
Maccabi Jaffa0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Maccabi Haifa2
MS Kafr Qasim0
Semi-finals
H. Beer Sheva3
Yehuda2
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa2
Final
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2