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Msaken vs Chebba

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Msaken Logo

Msaken

2 - 4
FT
Chebba Logo

Chebba

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Zekri G.
33' Event
Mekhinini H.
40' Event
Nouioui M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chebba in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chebba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Msaken
20%
Draws
73%
Chebba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chebba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Chebba average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Msaken's 1.13.
  • Chebba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Msaken Clean Sheet 21%
Chebba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Msaken Chebba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Chebba
2:4
Dec 13, 2025 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Msaken
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Chebba vs Msaken
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Msaken Compare

Top Goalscorer Zekri G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouzidi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chebba Compare

Top Goalscorer Nouioui M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mekhinini H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Msaken 10 / 100
Chebba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Msaken Chebba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Msaken's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chebba conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Msaken has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Msaken VS Chebba
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Msaken

(Home)
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1
Msaken
Page 1 of 6

Chebba

(Away)
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1
Chebba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)