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Msaken vs Hamam-Sousse

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Msaken and Hamam-Sousse finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Msaken
20%
Draws
40%
Hamam-Sousse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamam-Sousse come out ahead of Msaken on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Msaken taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Msaken Clean Sheet 20%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Msaken Hamam-Sousse
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Hamam-Sousse
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Msaken
2:3
Apr 20, 2025 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Msaken
3:3
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Hamam-Sousse
2:2
May 31, 2024 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Hamam-Sousse
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Msaken 36 / 100
Hamam-Sousse 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Msaken Hamam-Sousse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Hamam-Sousse has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Hamam-Sousse registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Msaken found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Msaken VS Hamam-Sousse
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Msaken

(Home)
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1
Msaken
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Hamam-Sousse

(Away)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)