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MSK Senec vs Nove Zamky - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MSK Senec host Nove Zamky in the 3. Liga - West. Form suggests where the edge lies here. MSK Senec have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Nove Zamky's 1.69 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor MSK Senec slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.75) point toward Nove Zamky. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
MSK Senec
15%
Draws
49%
Nove Zamky
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nove Zamky

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nove Zamky come out ahead of MSK Senec on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
MSK Senec Clean Sheet 12%
Nove Zamky Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MSK Senec Nove Zamky
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 3. Liga - West
MSK Senec vs Nove Zamky
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 3. Liga - West
Nove Zamky vs MSK Senec
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MSK Senec 29 / 100
Nove Zamky 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MSK Senec Nove Zamky

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MSK Senec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MSK Senec scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Nove Zamky conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nove Zamky's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

MSK Senec VS Nove Zamky
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MSK Senec

(Home)
02 Oct
MSK Senec
0 : 1
Myjava
26 Sept
MSK Puchov
5 : 0
MSK Senec
18 Sept
MSK Senec
1 : 0
Dunajska Luzna
13 Sept
Komarno B
2 : 1
MSK Senec
04 Sept
MSK Senec
0 : 1
Raca
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Nove Zamky

(Away)
04 Oct
Belusa
0 : 0
Nove Zamky
26 Sept
Nove Zamky
2 : 5
Trencin B
19 Sept
Nove Zamky
1 : 5
Nitra
12 Sept
Velke Ludince
3 : 1
Nove Zamky
05 Sept
Nove Zamky
2 : 1
Myjava
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nitra 9 8 1 0 30:7 25
2 MSK Puchov 9 5 3 1 18:5 18
3 Belusa 9 4 4 1 19:11 16
4 Myjava 9 4 3 2 13:11 15
5 Dunajska Luzna 9 4 3 2 11:9 15
6 Gabcikovo 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
7 Trencin B 9 4 1 4 20:18 13
8 Banik Prievidza 9 4 0 5 15:15 12
9 Nove Zamky 9 3 3 3 11:16 12
10 Dun. Streda B 9 3 2 4 19:15 11
11 Raca 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
12 MSK Senec 9 3 0 6 8:17 9
13 Castkovce 9 2 2 5 17:20 8
14 Komarno B 9 2 2 5 10:23 8
15 Sala 9 1 3 5 8:17 6
16 Velke Ludince 9 1 3 5 12:27 6
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)