Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MSV Dusseldorf vs Baumberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Nishimura S.
55' Event
Bojkovski A.
74' Event
Molango O. R.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 game between MSV Dusseldorf and Baumberg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MSV Dusseldorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
MSV Dusseldorf
20%
Draws
51%
Baumberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baumberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Baumberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives MSV Dusseldorf a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
MSV Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 16%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MSV Dusseldorf Baumberg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
MSV Dusseldorf vs Baumberg
2:1
Nov 13, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs MSV Dusseldorf
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MSV Dusseldorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Bojkovski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molango O. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Baumberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Bhaskar W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MSV Dusseldorf 48 / 100
Baumberg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MSV Dusseldorf Baumberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MSV Dusseldorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MSV Dusseldorf found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Baumberg conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: MSV Dusseldorf remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baumberg
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MSV Dusseldorf

(Home)
31 Jan
MSV Dusseldorf
2 : 2
Meerbusch
28 Jan
MSV Dusseldorf
2 : 3
Bergisch Born
25 Jan
Buderich
3 : 1
MSV Dusseldorf
20 Jul
Buderich
2 : 1
MSV Dusseldorf
04 Jun
Uerdingen
3 : 6
MSV Dusseldorf
Page 1 of 6

Baumberg

(Away)
02 Oct
Wuppertaler
4 : 0
Baumberg
27 Sept
Baumberg
1 : 2
Germania Ratingen
19 Sept
FC Monheim
1 : 2
Baumberg
13 Sept
Baumberg
4 : 4
Juchen-Garzweiler
06 Sept
Solingen-Wald
1 : 4
Baumberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 40 29 7 4 93:33 94
2 Hilden 40 23 10 7 89:45 79
3 TVD Velbert 40 23 9 8 86:46 78
4 Germania Ratingen 40 22 8 10 79:55 74
5 SW Essen 40 22 7 11 84:52 73
6 Uerdingen 40 21 9 10 80:58 72
7 Schonnebeck 40 19 4 17 84:70 61
8 Meerbusch 40 16 11 13 81:67 59
9 Baumberg 40 16 10 14 78:54 58
10 Hamborn 40 16 8 16 77:79 56
11 Union Nettetal 40 15 10 15 65:72 55
12 Homberg 40 14 12 14 68:57 54
13 Sonsbeck 40 14 11 15 71:68 53
14 SC St.Tonis 40 13 14 13 59:60 53
15 Kleve 40 14 10 16 67:77 52
16 MSV Dusseldorf 40 12 14 14 71:68 50
17 FC Monheim 40 10 12 18 58:76 42
18 Cronenberger 40 8 6 26 38:87 30
19 TuRU Dusseldorf 40 7 8 25 35:85 29
20 Kray 40 6 6 28 47:110 24
21 FSV Duisburg 40 4 6 30 36:127 18
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)