Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MSV Dusseldorf vs FSV Duisburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bouzraa A.
41' Event
Bouzraa A.
65' Event
Manu K. S.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 game between MSV Dusseldorf and FSV Duisburg finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MSV Dusseldorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
MSV Dusseldorf
6%
Draws
4%
FSV Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MSV Dusseldorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • MSV Dusseldorf has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FSV Duisburg.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for MSV Dusseldorf.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
MSV Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 68%
FSV Duisburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MSV Dusseldorf FSV Duisburg
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
MSV Dusseldorf vs FSV Duisburg
4:1
Oct 30, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
FSV Duisburg vs MSV Dusseldorf
0:1
Aug 1, 2020 Club Friendly
FSV Duisburg vs MSV Dusseldorf
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MSV Dusseldorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzraa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manu K. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FSV Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkamanyi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MSV Dusseldorf 95 / 100
FSV Duisburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MSV Dusseldorf FSV Duisburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MSV Dusseldorf scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

FSV Duisburg let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

MSV Dusseldorf went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FSV Duisburg lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MSV Dusseldorf VS FSV Duisburg
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SSVg Velbert40297493:3394
2Hilden402310789:4579
3TVD Velbert40239886:4678
4Germania Ratingen402281079:5574
5SW Essen402271184:5273
6Uerdingen402191080:5872
7Schonnebeck401941784:7061
8Meerbusch4016111381:6759
9Baumberg4016101478:5458
10Hamborn401681677:7956
11Union Nettetal4015101565:7255
12Homberg4014121468:5754
13Sonsbeck4014111571:6853
14SC St.Tonis4013141359:6053
15Kleve4014101667:7752
16MSV Dusseldorf4012141471:6850
17FC Monheim4010121858:7642
18Cronenberger40862638:8730
19TuRU Dusseldorf40782535:8529
20Kray40662847:11024
21FSV Duisburg40463036:12718