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MSV Dusseldorf vs Sonsbeck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Keisers K.
90' Event
Nadidai M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 game between MSV Dusseldorf and Sonsbeck finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
MSV Dusseldorf
20%
Draws
57%
Sonsbeck
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sonsbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sonsbeck come out ahead of MSV Dusseldorf on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
MSV Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 18%
Sonsbeck Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MSV Dusseldorf Sonsbeck
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
MSV Dusseldorf vs Sonsbeck
1:1
Oct 16, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Sonsbeck vs MSV Dusseldorf
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MSV Dusseldorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Nadidai M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sonsbeck Compare

Top Goalscorer Keisers K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MSV Dusseldorf 36 / 100
Sonsbeck 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MSV Dusseldorf Sonsbeck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonsbeck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MSV Dusseldorf's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Sonsbeck has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: MSV Dusseldorf remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sonsbeck
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MSV Dusseldorf

(Home)
31 Jan
MSV Dusseldorf
2 : 2
Meerbusch
28 Jan
MSV Dusseldorf
2 : 3
Bergisch Born
25 Jan
Buderich
3 : 1
MSV Dusseldorf
20 Jul
Buderich
2 : 1
MSV Dusseldorf
04 Jun
Uerdingen
3 : 6
MSV Dusseldorf
Page 1 of 6

Sonsbeck

(Away)
02 Oct
Juchen-Garzweiler
3 : 2
Sonsbeck
27 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
Solingen-Wald
19 Sept
Uerdingen
0 : 1
Sonsbeck
13 Sept
Sonsbeck
0 : 0
Meerbusch
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 40 29 7 4 93:33 94
2 Hilden 40 23 10 7 89:45 79
3 TVD Velbert 40 23 9 8 86:46 78
4 Germania Ratingen 40 22 8 10 79:55 74
5 SW Essen 40 22 7 11 84:52 73
6 Uerdingen 40 21 9 10 80:58 72
7 Schonnebeck 40 19 4 17 84:70 61
8 Meerbusch 40 16 11 13 81:67 59
9 Baumberg 40 16 10 14 78:54 58
10 Hamborn 40 16 8 16 77:79 56
11 Union Nettetal 40 15 10 15 65:72 55
12 Homberg 40 14 12 14 68:57 54
13 Sonsbeck 40 14 11 15 71:68 53
14 SC St.Tonis 40 13 14 13 59:60 53
15 Kleve 40 14 10 16 67:77 52
16 MSV Dusseldorf 40 12 14 14 71:68 50
17 FC Monheim 40 10 12 18 58:76 42
18 Cronenberger 40 8 6 26 38:87 30
19 TuRU Dusseldorf 40 7 8 25 35:85 29
20 Kray 40 6 6 28 47:110 24
21 FSV Duisburg 40 4 6 30 36:127 18
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)