Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Mtarfa and Gudja finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gudja.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Gudja come out ahead of Mtarfa on wins alone.
- Model gives Gudja a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Gudja have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mtarfa | Gudja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 23 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.68 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.42 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mtarfa Compare
Gudja Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Gudja has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Mtarfa scored in 35% of their last 31 outings.
Gudja's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mtarfa
(Home)Gudja
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Balzan FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Melita | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 36:17 | 32 |
| 3 | Birzebbuga | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 29:15 | 31 |
| 4 | Sirens | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 39:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Swieqi | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Fgura | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 33:24 | 25 |
| 7 | Pieta | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 8 | St. Andrews | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:23 | 23 |
| 9 | Mgarr | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Gudja | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 11 | Santa Lucia | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27:25 | 18 |
| 12 | Zurrieq | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 21:27 | 14 |
| 13 | Vittoriosa | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Marsa | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18:28 | 8 |
| 15 | Zebbug | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:37 | 8 |
| 16 | Mtarfa | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:67 | -2 |
