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Mtarfa vs Marsaskala FC

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
80' Event
83' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mtarfa
20%
Draws
80%
Marsaskala FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marsaskala FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Marsaskala FC have won more games recently than Mtarfa.
  • Model gives Marsaskala FC a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mtarfa Clean Sheet 10%
Marsaskala FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mtarfa Marsaskala FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.73
Goals Conceded 3.47 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Challenge League
Mtarfa vs Marsaskala FC
2:2
Oct 15, 2022 Challenge League
Marsaskala FC vs Mtarfa
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mtarfa 10 / 100
Marsaskala FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mtarfa Marsaskala FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marsaskala FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marsaskala FC conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Mtarfa's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Marsaskala FC registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mtarfa VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
4.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mtarfa

(Home)
19 Apr
Mtarfa
1 : 5
Santa Lucia
11 Apr
Marsa
5 : 0
Mtarfa
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1
Vittoriosa
15 Mar
Gudja
3 : 0
Mtarfa
07 Mar
Mtarfa
0 : 2
Zurrieq
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Marsaskala FC

(Away)
14 Jan
Sliema
3 : 0
Marsaskala FC
22 Apr
St. Andrews
2 : 2
Marsaskala FC
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
11 Apr
Attard
2 : 2
Marsaskala FC
01 Apr
Marsaskala FC
3 : 1
Vittoriosa
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