Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Jamhuri Stadium

Mtibwa Sugar

0 - 1

Dodoma Jiji

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Nsata A.

39'

Mgore D.

44'

Edgar W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Mtibwa Sugar and Dodoma Jiji finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dodoma Jiji.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Mtibwa Sugar

20%

Draws

38%

Dodoma Jiji

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mtibwa Sugar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Dodoma Jiji come out ahead of Mtibwa Sugar on wins alone.
Model gives Mtibwa Sugar a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 68%

Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mtibwa Sugar	Dodoma Jiji
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	8
Draws	9	11
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Oct 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Dodoma Jiji vs Mtibwa Sugar

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Feb 27, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sep 15, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Dodoma Jiji vs Mtibwa Sugar

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Feb 11, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mtibwa Sugar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Dodoma Jiji Compare

Top Goalscorer Edgar W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mtibwa Sugar 51 / 100

Dodoma Jiji 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mtibwa Sugar Dodoma Jiji

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dodoma Jiji's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Dodoma Jiji lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mtibwa Sugar scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mtibwa Sugar VS Dodoma Jiji

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9