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Mtibwa Sugar vs JKT Tanzania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Jamhuri Stadium, Dodoma
Mtibwa Sugar Logo

Mtibwa Sugar

2 - 2
FT
JKT Tanzania Logo

JKT Tanzania

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Peter P.
28'
Kombo K.
30'
Msafiri K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mtibwa Sugar
15%
Draws
85%
JKT Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JKT Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • JKT Tanzania have won more games recently than Mtibwa Sugar.
  • JKT Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 13%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mtibwa Sugar JKT Tanzania
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs JKT Tanzania
2:2
Dec 3, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Mtibwa Sugar
0:0
Apr 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Mtibwa Sugar
2:1
Nov 3, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs JKT Tanzania
1:2
Jul 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Mtibwa Sugar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mtibwa Sugar Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyawatwa H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

JKT Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Peter P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mtibwa Sugar 19 / 100
JKT Tanzania 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mtibwa Sugar JKT Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JKT Tanzania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JKT Tanzania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

JKT Tanzania lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Mtibwa Sugar found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Mtibwa Sugar VS JKT Tanzania
0.71 Goals Scored 1
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mtibwa Sugar

(Home)
30 Jun
Namungo
2 : 1
Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1
Mtibwa Sugar
24 Jun
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3
Simba
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0
Mtibwa Sugar
13 Jun
Mbeya City
1 : 0
Mtibwa Sugar
Page 1 of 6

JKT Tanzania

(Away)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0
JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)