Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Jamhuri Stadium

Mtibwa Sugar

2 - 2

JKT Tanzania

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Peter P.

28'

Kombo K.

30'

Msafiri K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Mtibwa Sugar

28%

Draws

50%

JKT Tanzania

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: JKT Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

JKT Tanzania have won more games recently than Mtibwa Sugar.
JKT Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 13%

JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mtibwa Sugar	JKT Tanzania
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	10
Draws	9	11
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	0.88	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs JKT Tanzania

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Dec 3, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

JKT Tanzania vs Mtibwa Sugar

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Apr 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

JKT Tanzania vs Mtibwa Sugar

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Nov 3, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs JKT Tanzania

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Jul 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara

JKT Tanzania vs Mtibwa Sugar

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mtibwa Sugar Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyawatwa H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

JKT Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Peter P.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mtibwa Sugar 22 / 100

JKT Tanzania 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mtibwa Sugar JKT Tanzania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JKT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JKT Tanzania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

JKT Tanzania lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Mtibwa Sugar found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Mtibwa Sugar VS JKT Tanzania

0.88 Goals Scored 0.88

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9