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MTK Budapest II vs Dunaujvaros

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Onder K.
88' Event
Molnar P.
90'
Lakatos C.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between MTK Budapest II and Dunaujvaros finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MTK Budapest II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
MTK Budapest II
15%
Draws
28%
Dunaujvaros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MTK Budapest II come out ahead of Dunaujvaros on wins alone.
  • MTK Budapest II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 20%
Dunaujvaros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest II Dunaujvaros
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Dunaujvaros
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dunaujvaros vs MTK Budapest II
5:2
Apr 7, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Dunaujvaros vs MTK Budapest II
1:1
Sep 24, 2023 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Dunaujvaros
3:1
Feb 12, 2023 NB III - Centre
Dunaujvaros vs MTK Budapest II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest II Compare

Top Goalscorer Onder K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molnar P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Dunaujvaros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest II 85 / 100
Dunaujvaros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest II Dunaujvaros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: MTK Budapest II scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Dunaujvaros let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Dunaujvaros lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest II VS Dunaujvaros
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest II

(Home)
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
12 Aug
Siofok
2 : 1
MTK Budapest II
09 Aug
MTK Budapest II
8 : 0
Szekszardi
26 Jul
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Budafoki MTE
24 May
Nagykanizsa FC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
Page 1 of 6

Dunaujvaros

(Away)
25 Jul
Ferencvaros II
3 : 0
Dunaujvaros
24 May
Dunaujvaros
2 : 3
Ferencvaros II
17 May
MTK Budapest II
2 : 0
Dunaujvaros
10 May
Pecsi MFC
2 : 0
Dunaujvaros
03 May
Dunaujvaros
3 : 1
Szekszardi
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)