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MTK Budapest II vs Erdi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest II host Erdi in the NB III - Southwest. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Erdi have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while MTK Budapest II have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.93. Head-to-head, MTK Budapest II have won 1 to Erdi's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 1.88) point toward Erdi. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
MTK Budapest II
15%
Draws
46%
Erdi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Erdi have managed 1.9 goals a game lately — MTK Budapest II are scoring more at 1.93.
  • Win probability leans MTK Budapest II's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Erdi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 10%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest II Erdi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs MTK Budapest II
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Erdi
2:1
Apr 28, 2024 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Erdi
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs MTK Budapest II
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest II 34 / 100
Erdi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest II Erdi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: MTK Budapest II scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

MTK Budapest II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest II VS Erdi
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest II

(Home)
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
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Erdi

(Away)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)