Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Laszlo M.

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest II in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored MTK Budapest II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
MTK Budapest II
15%
Draws
34%
Kaposvar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaposvar have won more games recently than MTK Budapest II.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 10%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest II Kaposvar
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.93 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar
2:3
Apr 21, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest II Compare

Top Goalscorer Laszlo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kaposvar Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest II 29 / 100
Kaposvar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest II Kaposvar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

MTK Budapest II found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Kaposvar conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Kaposvar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest II VS Kaposvar
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest II

(Home)
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
Page 1 of 6

Kaposvar

(Away)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Majosi
4 : 1
Kaposvar
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)