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MTK Budapest vs Vasas

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Petho B.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Balazs J.
72' Event
Zeljkovic A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored MTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
MTK Budapest
20%
Draws
42%
Vasas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vasas lately — more wins on the board than MTK Budapest.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and MTK Budapest have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 13%
Vasas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Vasas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 20
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.72 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
3:1
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
2:1
Jan 13, 2021 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
0:0
Mar 14, 2020 NB II.
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
3:1
Sep 18, 2019 NB II.
Vasas vs MTK Budapest
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Balazs J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyers A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vasas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 30 / 100
Vasas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Vasas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

MTK Budapest went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vasas has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Vasas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1
MTK Budapest
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Vasas

(Away)
12 Sept
TFSE-Tent Budapest
1 : 3
Vasas
04 Sept
Vasas
3 : 2
Nyiregyhaza
29 Aug
Ujpest
3 : 1
Vasas
22 Aug
Vasas
0 : 1
Puskas Academy
14 Aug
Honved
1 : 2
Vasas
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