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Muaither SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Sun, Mar 29, 2026
4 - 3
03:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Darros J. P.
Assist: Sanchez R.
8' Event
Gonzalez E.
Assist: Al Diri A.
11' Event
Saleh F.
Assist: Luque A.

AI Match Summary

Muaither SC in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Muaither SC
30%
Draws
28%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muaither SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Muaither SC have won more games recently than Al Arabi (Qatar).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Muaither SC taking it.
  • Muaither SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Muaither SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muaither SC Al Arabi (Qatar)
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
4:3
Dec 13, 2025 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Muaither SC
4:3
Dec 8, 2023 QSL
Muaither SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
2:2
Sep 9, 2023 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Muaither SC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muaither SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saleh F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Top Goalscorer Darros J. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarabia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muaither SC 67 / 100
Al Arabi (Qatar) 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muaither SC Al Arabi (Qatar)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muaither SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Muaither SC scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Al Arabi (Qatar) conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Muaither SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Muaither SC VS Al Arabi (Qatar)
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Muaither SC

(Home)
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
31 Aug
Muaither SC
5 : 1
Al Rayyan 2
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6

Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Away)
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
21 Aug
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 2
Shamal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
Al Shahaniya 1
Shamal 0
Umm-Salal -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 1
Al Bidda 3
Muaither SC 2
Al Kharitiyath 0
Al Markhiya 2
Al Khor 1
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Qatar SC 2
Al Waab 3
Al Mesaimeer 1
Quarter-finals
Al Rayyan 3
Al Shahaniya 0
Umm-Salal 2
Al Bidda 0
Muaither SC 3
Al Markhiya 2
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Al Waab 1
Semi-finals
Al Rayyan 4
Umm-Salal 3
Muaither SC 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Final
Al Rayyan 2
Muaither SC 0