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Muaither SC vs Al Kharitiyath

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Muaither SC Logo

Muaither SC

2 - 0
FT
Al Kharitiyath Logo

Al Kharitiyath

Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Diabate S.
76' Event
Gonzalez E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Muaither SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Muaither SC
30%
Draws
28%
Al Kharitiyath
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muaither SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Muaither SC come out ahead of Al Kharitiyath on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Muaither SC taking it.
  • Muaither SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Muaither SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 15%
Al Kharitiyath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muaither SC Al Kharitiyath
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 QSL 2
Muaither SC vs Al Kharitiyath
1:2
Jan 26, 2026 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Kharitiyath
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 QSL 2
Al Kharitiyath vs Muaither SC
5:0
Nov 16, 2025 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Kharitiyath
1:0
Mar 14, 2025 QSL 2
Al Kharitiyath vs Muaither SC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muaither SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diabate S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Kharitiyath Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muaither SC 57 / 100
Al Kharitiyath 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muaither SC Al Kharitiyath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muaither SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muaither SC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Al Kharitiyath conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Muaither SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Muaither SC VS Al Kharitiyath
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Muaither SC

(Home)
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Al Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
31 Aug
Muaither SC
5 : 1
Al Rayyan 2
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6

Al Kharitiyath

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
24 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
Al Shahaniya 1
Shamal 0
Umm-Salal -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 1
Al Bidda 3
Muaither SC 2
Al Kharitiyath 0
Al Markhiya 2
Al Khor 1
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Qatar SC 2
Al Waab 3
Al Mesaimeer 1
Quarter-finals
Al Rayyan 3
Al Shahaniya 0
Umm-Salal 2
Al Bidda 0
Muaither SC 3
Al Markhiya 2
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Al Waab 1
Semi-finals
Al Rayyan 4
Umm-Salal 3
Muaither SC 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Final
Al Rayyan 2
Muaither SC 0