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Muang Thong Utd vs Ayutthaya United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thunderdome Stadium, Nonthaburi
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Sub
Islame Y. In: Kasemkulwirai K.
Out: Islame Y.
52'
Caique Lemes
56' Event
Kasemkulwirai K.
Assist: Diego Carioca

AI Match Summary

Ayutthaya United in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayutthaya United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Muang Thong Utd
6%
Draws
4%
Ayutthaya United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Muang Thong Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ayutthaya United have won more games recently than Muang Thong Utd.
  • Model gives Muang Thong Utd a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muang Thong Utd Ayutthaya United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Ayutthaya United
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Muang Thong Utd
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muang Thong Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasemkulwirai K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muang Thong Utd 85 / 100
Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muang Thong Utd Ayutthaya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Ayutthaya United registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Muang Thong Utd's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ayutthaya United conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Muang Thong Utd VS Ayutthaya United
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Muang Thong Utd

(Home)
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1
Pathum United
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
05 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6

Ayutthaya United

(Away)
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
12 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2026/2027 (Main)