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Muang Thong Utd vs Chiangrai Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Thunderdome Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Muang Thong Utd play Chiangrai Utd in the Thai League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Muang Thong Utd averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. Chiangrai Utd averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Muang Thong Utd won 4, Chiangrai Utd won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Muang Thong Utd and 1.19 for Chiangrai Utd. This points to a Chiangrai Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Muang Thong Utd
33%
Draws
40%
Chiangrai Utd
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chiangrai Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chiangrai Utd has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Muang Thong Utd.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Chiangrai Utd.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Thai League 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muang Thong Utd Chiangrai Utd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Chiangrai Utd
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Muang Thong Utd
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Chiangrai Utd
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Muang Thong Utd
3:1
May 26, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Muang Thong Utd
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muang Thong Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Khamyok K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popp Willian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chiangrai Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muang Thong Utd 28 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muang Thong Utd Chiangrai Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muang Thong Utd scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Chiangrai Utd let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Muang Thong Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chiangrai Utd lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muang Thong Utd VS Chiangrai Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423