Sport Picks
Muang Thong Utd vs Chiangrai Utd
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thunderdome Stadium, Nonthaburi 
Match Events
12'
12'
Dudu
Assist: Enomoto I.
46'
46'
Sub
Panthong S. In: Phosri S.
Out: Panthong S.
46'
46'
Sub
Kempter M. In: Lorenzen M.
Out: Kempter M.
AI Match Summary
Muang Thong Utd in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muang Thong Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muang Thong Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chiangrai Utd lately — more wins on the board than Muang Thong Utd.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Muang Thong Utd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Muang Thong Utd | Chiangrai Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Chiangrai Utd
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Muang Thong Utd
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Chiangrai Utd
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Muang Thong Utd
3:1
May 26, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Muang Thong Utd
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Muang Thong Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Khamyok K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Popp Willian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Chiangrai Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Muang Thong Utd 32 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Muang Thong Utd Chiangrai Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chiangrai Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Muang Thong Utd scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Chiangrai Utd conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Muang Thong Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Muang Thong Utd VS Chiangrai Utd
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Muang Thong Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Sept
Uttaradit FC
0 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0 Police Tero
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0 Police Tero
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 4
Chiangrai Utd
(Away) 19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1 Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 Chiangrai Utd
05 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
13 Mar
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
01 Mar
Kanchanaburi
0 : 4 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
