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Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mufulira Wanderers play Mutondo Stars in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mufulira Wanderers averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Mutondo Stars averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Mufulira Wanderers won 2, Mutondo Stars won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Mufulira Wanderers and 0.88 for Mutondo Stars. This points to a Mufulira Wanderers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mufulira Wanderers
33%
Draws
40%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mutondo Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mufulira Wanderers has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mutondo Stars.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Mutondo Stars.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mufulira Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mufulira Wanderers Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars
0:2
Mar 3, 2024 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mufulira Wanderers 28 / 100
Mutondo Stars 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mufulira Wanderers Mutondo Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mufulira Wanderers scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Mutondo Stars let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Mufulira Wanderers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mutondo Stars lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mufulira Wanderers VS Mutondo Stars
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%