Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Mufulira Wanderers and Mutondo Stars finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mufulira Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Mufulira Wanderers
20%
Draws
70%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mutondo Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mufulira Wanderers come out ahead of Mutondo Stars on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mutondo Stars's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Mufulira Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mufulira Wanderers Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 13
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.72 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars
0:2
Mar 3, 2024 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mufulira Wanderers 24 / 100
Mutondo Stars 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mufulira Wanderers Mutondo Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutondo Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutondo Stars let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Mufulira Wanderers's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Solid form: Mufulira Wanderers remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mufulira Wanderers VS Mutondo Stars
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mufulira Wanderers

(Home)
03 Oct
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 4
Green Eagles
23 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
17 May
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 0
Red Arrows
13 May
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
03 May
Green Eagles
2 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Mutondo Stars

(Away)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 6