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Muglaspor vs Bucaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Bolukbasi M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 game between Muglaspor and Bucaspor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muglaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Muglaspor
35%
Draws
6%
Bucaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bucaspor haven't matched Muglaspor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Muglaspor a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Bucaspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muglaspor Bucaspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Muglaspor vs Bucaspor
1:0
Nov 10, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Bucaspor vs Muglaspor
2:1
Apr 13, 1997 1. Lig
Bucaspor vs Muglaspor
2:1
Jan 26, 1997 1. Lig
Muglaspor vs Bucaspor
0:0
Oct 13, 1996 1. Lig
Bucaspor vs Muglaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muglaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolukbasi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Bucaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muglaspor 85 / 100
Bucaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muglaspor Bucaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muglaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaspor has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Muglaspor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Muglaspor's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Muglaspor VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muglaspor

(Home)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
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Bucaspor

(Away)
04 May
Bucaspor
2 : 4
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
28 Apr
Turgutlu
2 : 1
Bucaspor
21 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 1
Golcukspor
14 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 1
Bucaspor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayburt Ozel Idare 34 20 8 6 48:22 68
2 Kocaelispor 34 17 7 10 40:31 58
3 Karacabey Bld. 34 17 7 10 45:40 58
4 Serik Spor 34 13 13 8 39:36 52
5 Corum FK 34 15 7 12 42:32 52
6 Turgutlu 34 14 7 13 49:47 49
7 24Erzincanspor 34 14 6 14 45:38 48
8 Payasspor 34 14 6 14 32:37 48
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 34 11 13 10 40:40 46
10 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 34 12 9 13 38:40 45
11 Muglaspor 34 11 9 14 31:33 42
12 Cankaya FK 34 9 14 11 37:35 41
13 Fatsa Bld. 34 9 13 12 32:36 40
14 Cizrespor 34 8 16 10 33:39 40
15 Golcukspor 34 9 13 12 28:32 40
16 1461 Trabzon 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
17 Buyukcekmece Gucu 34 8 11 15 37:48 35
18 Bucaspor 34 6 10 18 35:57 28
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)