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Muglaspor vs Bucaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Bolukbasi M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 game between Muglaspor and Bucaspor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muglaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Muglaspor
6%
Draws
4%
Bucaspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bucaspor haven't matched Muglaspor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Muglaspor a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Bucaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muglaspor Bucaspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Muglaspor vs Bucaspor
1:0
Nov 10, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Bucaspor vs Muglaspor
2:1
Apr 13, 1997 1. Lig
Bucaspor vs Muglaspor
2:1
Jan 26, 1997 1. Lig
Muglaspor vs Bucaspor
0:0
Oct 13, 1996 1. Lig
Bucaspor vs Muglaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muglaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolukbasi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bucaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muglaspor 85 / 100
Bucaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muglaspor Bucaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaspor has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Muglaspor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Muglaspor's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Muglaspor VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayburt Ozel Idare34208648:2268
2Kocaelispor341771040:3158
3Karacabey Bld.341771045:4058
4Serik Spor341313839:3652
5Corum FK341571242:3252
6Turgutlu341471349:4749
724Erzincanspor341461445:3848
8Payasspor341461432:3748
9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi3411131040:4046
10Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)341291338:4045
11Muglaspor341191431:3342
12Cankaya FK349141137:3541
13Fatsa Bld.349131232:3640
14Cizrespor348161033:3940
15Golcukspor349131228:3240
161461 Trabzon348131331:3937
17Beykoz Ishakli Spor348111537:4835
18Bucaspor346101835:5728