Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muglaspor vs Kelkit Bld. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Kizilates C.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2024/2025 game between Muglaspor and Kelkit Bld. finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muglaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Muglaspor
35%
Draws
20%
Kelkit Bld.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Kelkit Bld. haven't matched Muglaspor's recent run of results.
  • Muglaspor are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Kelkit Bld. Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muglaspor Kelkit Bld.
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 16 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Muglaspor vs Kelkit Bld.
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 3. Lig Group 2
Kelkit Bld. vs Muglaspor
2:1
Feb 17, 2021 3. Lig Group 4
Kelkit Bld. vs Muglaspor
2:1
Oct 11, 2020 3. Lig Group 4
Muglaspor vs Kelkit Bld.
0:1
Apr 25, 2020 3. Lig Group 3
Muglaspor vs Kelkit Bld.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muglaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kizilates C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Kelkit Bld. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muglaspor 86 / 100
Kelkit Bld. 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muglaspor Kelkit Bld.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muglaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muglaspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Muglaspor scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Kelkit Bld. let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Muglaspor VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muglaspor

(Home)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 7

Kelkit Bld.

(Away)
26 Apr
Cayeli SK
5 : 2
Kelkit Bld.
20 Apr
Kelkit Bld.
3 : 3
Amasyaspor
13 Apr
Muglaspor
1 : 0
Kelkit Bld.
06 Apr
Kelkit Bld.
0 : 2
Silivrispor
02 Apr
Adiyaman FK
0 : 3
Kelkit Bld.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muglaspor 30 18 7 5 42:19 61
2 Balikesirspor 30 17 5 8 54:27 56
3 Amasyaspor 30 13 10 7 48:36 49
4 Silivrispor 30 14 7 9 46:36 49
5 Tire 2021 FK 30 13 9 8 47:28 48
6 Mazidagi 30 10 16 4 34:18 46
7 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 12 9 9 45:29 45
8 Etimesgut 30 12 9 9 37:32 45
9 Cayeli SK 30 11 11 8 33:29 44
10 Fatsa Bld. 30 11 6 13 31:39 39
11 Turk Metal 1963 30 9 9 12 37:46 36
12 Buyukcekmece Gucu 30 10 6 14 42:41 36
13 Inegol Kafkas 30 9 8 13 34:38 35
14 Kelkit Bld. 30 7 11 12 31:37 32
15 Nevsehir 30 4 11 15 17:55 23
16 Adiyaman FK 30 1 4 25 14:82 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)