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Muhanga vs Gorilla

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Muhanga Logo

Muhanga

1 - 2
FT
Gorilla Logo

Gorilla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gorilla in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gorilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Muhanga
15%
Draws
48%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Muhanga haven't matched Gorilla's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gorilla have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Muhanga Clean Sheet 16%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muhanga Gorilla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Muhanga vs Gorilla
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Muhanga
2:0
Jun 10, 2021 Premier League
Muhanga vs Gorilla
0:2
May 11, 2021 Premier League
Muhanga vs Gorilla
1:2
May 8, 2021 Premier League
Gorilla vs Muhanga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muhanga 31 / 100
Gorilla 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muhanga Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gorilla conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Muhanga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Muhanga found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Muhanga VS Gorilla
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Muhanga

(Home)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
16 May
Kiyovu
1 : 1
Muhanga
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
06 May
Muhanga
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
Page 1 of 6

Gorilla

(Away)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)