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Mumbai City vs East Bengal

India India

ISL Mumbai Football Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Fernandes B.
Assist: Chhetri B.
22'
Zothanpuia Z.
46'
Sub
Mawihmingthanga J. In: Chakrabarti S.
Out: Mawihmingthanga J.

AI Match Summary

The ISL game between Mumbai City and East Bengal finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward East Bengal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mumbai City
40%
Draws
29%
East Bengal
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mumbai City haven't matched East Bengal's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mumbai City Clean Sheet 12%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mumbai City East Bengal
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 15 21
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 ISL
Mumbai City vs East Bengal
1:2
Jan 31, 2025 ISL
Mumbai City vs East Bengal
0:0
Jan 6, 2025 ISL
East Bengal vs Mumbai City
2:3
Feb 13, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs Mumbai City
0:1
Dec 16, 2023 ISL
Mumbai City vs East Bengal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mumbai City Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Sekar N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mumbai City 30 / 100
East Bengal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mumbai City East Bengal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mumbai City's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: East Bengal conceded in 63% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mumbai City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mumbai City VS East Bengal
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323