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Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan

India India

I-League 2016/2017 Shree Shiv Chhatrapati Sports Complex, Pune
Mumbai Logo

Mumbai

0 - 0
FT
Mohun Bagan Logo

Mohun Bagan

Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Sub
Mallick A. In: Singh B.
Out: Mallick A.
54'
Sub
Choudhary F. In: Nikhil K.
Out: Choudhary F.
58'
Sharityar D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2016/2017 game between Mumbai and Mohun Bagan finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Mumbai
30%
Draws
56%
Mohun Bagan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mohun Bagan a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mumbai Clean Sheet 14%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mumbai Mohun Bagan
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.83 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2017 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai
2:2
Feb 15, 2017 I-League
Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan
0:0
Mar 13, 2016 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai
2:0
Feb 10, 2016 I-League
Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan
0:0
May 2, 2015 I-League
Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mumbai 10 / 100
Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mumbai Mohun Bagan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Mumbai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mumbai scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Mohun Bagan conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mohun Bagan
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mumbai

(Home)
29 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 4
East Bengal
23 Apr
Mumbai
1 : 1
Lajong
16 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Chennai City FC
08 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Churchill Brothers
11 Mar
DSK Shivajians
5 : 0
Mumbai
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Mohun Bagan

(Away)
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
CISF Protectors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aizawl FC 18 11 4 3 24:14 37
2 Mohun Bagan 18 10 6 2 27:12 36
3 East Bengal 18 10 3 5 33:15 33
4 Bengaluru FC 18 8 6 4 30:15 30
5 Lajong 18 7 5 6 24:23 26
6 Churchill Brothers 18 5 5 8 24:26 20
7 DSK Shivajians 18 4 6 8 22:30 18
8 Chennai City FC 18 4 5 9 15:29 17
9 Minerva Punjab 18 2 7 9 17:33 13
10 Mumbai 18 2 7 9 9:28 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2018 (Qualification)