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Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan

India India

I-League 2016/2017 Shree Shiv Chhatrapati Sports Complex, Pune
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Sub
Mallick A. In: Singh B.
Out: Mallick A.
54'
Sub
Choudhary F. In: Nikhil K.
Out: Choudhary F.
58'
Sharityar D.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2016/2017 game between Mumbai and Mohun Bagan finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mumbai
6%
Draws
90%
Mohun Bagan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mohun Bagan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mumbai Clean Sheet 18%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mumbai Mohun Bagan
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 4 23
Draws 11 12
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2017 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai
2:2
Feb 15, 2017 I-League
Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan
0:0
Mar 13, 2016 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai
2:0
Feb 10, 2016 I-League
Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan
0:0
May 2, 2015 I-League
Mumbai vs Mohun Bagan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mumbai 10 / 100
Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mumbai Mohun Bagan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Mumbai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mumbai scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Mohun Bagan conceded in 55% of 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mohun Bagan
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mumbai

(Home)
29 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 4
East Bengal
23 Apr
Mumbai
1 : 1
Lajong
16 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Chennai City FC
08 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Churchill Brothers
11 Mar
DSK Shivajians
5 : 0
Mumbai
Page 1 of 6

Mohun Bagan

(Away)
25 Jul
East Bengal
0 : 1
Mohun Bagan
21 May
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
SC Delhi
17 May
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
East Bengal
12 May
Mohun Bagan
0 : 0
Inter Kashi
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aizawl FC18114324:1437
2Mohun Bagan18106227:1236
3East Bengal18103533:1533
4Bengaluru FC1886430:1530
5Lajong1875624:2326
6Churchill Brothers1855824:2620
7DSK Shivajians1846822:3018
8Chennai City FC1845915:2917
9Minerva Punjab1827917:3313
10Mumbai182799:2813
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