Sport Picks

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Mumbai vs SC Goa

India India

Federation Cup 2016 Shree Shiv Chhatrapati Sports Complex, Pune
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event

AI Match Summary

SC Goa in this Federation Cup 2016 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mumbai
30%
Draws
47%
SC Goa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Goa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mumbai haven't matched SC Goa's recent run of results.
  • SC Goa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • SC Goa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Goa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mumbai Clean Sheet 21%
SC Goa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mumbai SC Goa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2016 Federation Cup
SC Goa vs Mumbai
1:0
May 1, 2016 Federation Cup
Mumbai vs SC Goa
0:1
Feb 27, 2016 I-League
Mumbai vs SC Goa
2:2
Feb 14, 2016 I-League
SC Goa vs Mumbai
3:2
Apr 22, 2015 I-League
SC Goa vs Mumbai
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mumbai 24 / 100
SC Goa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mumbai SC Goa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Goa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Goa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mumbai stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: SC Goa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Goa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mumbai

(Home)
29 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 4
East Bengal
23 Apr
Mumbai
1 : 1
Lajong
16 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Chennai City FC
08 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Churchill Brothers
11 Mar
DSK Shivajians
5 : 0
Mumbai
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SC Goa

(Away)
15 May
SC Goa
1 : 2
SC Bengaluru
08 May
Bengaluru United
4 : 1
SC Goa
02 May
SC Goa
2 : 1
MYJ-GMSC
20 Apr
Delhi FC
2 : 1
SC Goa
14 Apr
SC Goa
1 : 0
Sudeva Delhi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Aizawl FC 5
Bengaluru FC 3
Mumbai 0
SC Goa 2
Lajong 4
East Bengal 3
Salgaocar SC 2
Mohun Bagan 7
Semi-finals
Aizawl FC 2
SC Goa 2
Lajong 0
Mohun Bagan 5
Final
Aizawl FC 0
Mohun Bagan 5