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Munaily Atyrau vs Gornyak Khromtay

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2005 game between Munaily Atyrau and Gornyak Khromtay finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornyak Khromtay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Munaily Atyrau
6%
Draws
4%
Gornyak Khromtay
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Munaily Atyrau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gornyak Khromtay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Munaily Atyrau a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gornyak Khromtay have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Munaily Atyrau Clean Sheet 20%
Gornyak Khromtay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Munaily Atyrau Gornyak Khromtay
Matches Played 33 45
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 29
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2007 First League
Munaily Atyrau vs Gornyak Khromtay
0:4
Jul 14, 2007 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Munaily Atyrau
4:1
Aug 19, 2006 First League
Munaily Atyrau vs Gornyak Khromtay
1:4
Jul 9, 2006 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Munaily Atyrau
6:0
Sep 11, 2005 First League
Munaily Atyrau vs Gornyak Khromtay
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Munaily Atyrau 85 / 100
Gornyak Khromtay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Munaily Atyrau Gornyak Khromtay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gornyak Khromtay conceded in 84% of 45 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Gornyak Khromtay's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Munaily Atyrau found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Gornyak Khromtay
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaisar Kyzylorda22174151:1055
2Cesna Almaty22172357:1653
3Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty22146270:2348
4Gornyak Khromtay22133630:2642
5Kaspij Aktau22106631:1736
6Ordabasy 22294940:4831
7Zhambyl Taraz22731224:3124
8Munaily Atyrau22731220:3824
9AI-Universitet22561119:4121
10Zhastar Uralsk22531421:4618
11Aktobe 222331626:6512
12Zhetysu Taldykorgan 222231714:429
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Energetik Pavlodar242130109:766
2Spartak Semey24185176:1759
3Ertis Pavlodar 224153660:2848
4Shakhter Yunost24132935:3041
5Ayat Rudnyi241101328:4033
6Asbest Zitikara241031130:3433
7Eurasia Astana24941125:3431
8Vostok Oskemen 224851139:4329
9Aksu24731422:4324
10Batyr Ekibastuz24641425:5222
11Spartak Semey 224631523:5921
12Kyzylzhar Academy24541520:7319
13Bolat24471312:4419