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Stadium Background

Munich 1860 vs Ingolstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Grünwalder Stadion, Munich
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Althaus S.
Assist: Haugen S.
57' Event
Costly M.
Assist: Hoppe M.
63'
Sub
Althaus S. In: Husic L.
Out: Althaus S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Munich 1860 and Ingolstadt finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ingolstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Munich 1860
15%
Draws
20%
Ingolstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Munich 1860

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ingolstadt haven't matched Munich 1860's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Munich 1860 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Munich 1860 Clean Sheet 20%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Munich 1860 Ingolstadt
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 3. Liga
Munich 1860 vs Ingolstadt
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Munich 1860
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 3. Liga
Munich 1860 vs Ingolstadt
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Munich 1860
1:2
Feb 11, 2024 3. Liga
Munich 1860 vs Ingolstadt
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Munich 1860 Compare

Top Goalscorer Althaus S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Costly M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Besuschkow M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Munich 1860 85 / 100
Ingolstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Munich 1860 Ingolstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Munich 1860 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Munich 1860 scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Ingolstadt let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Munich 1860 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Munich 1860 VS Ingolstadt
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Munich 1860

(Home)
03 Oct
Munich 1860
4 : 0
Ansbach
26 Sept
Burghausen
3 : 1
Munich 1860
20 Sept
Munich 1860
2 : 0
Nurnberg II
15 Sept
Furth II
1 : 1
Munich 1860
11 Sept
Munich 1860
3 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Page 1 of 6

Ingolstadt

(Away)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)