Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Municipal Limeno host Fuerte San Francisco in the Primera Division. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Municipal Limeno at 1.41 goals for, 1.37 against; Fuerte San Francisco at 0.88 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Municipal Limeno have won 4 to Fuerte San Francisco's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.44) point toward Municipal Limeno. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Municipal Limeno
30%
Draws
31%
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Municipal Limeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Municipal Limeno have won more games recently than Fuerte San Francisco.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Municipal Limeno taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Municipal Limeno have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 16%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Limeno Fuerte San Francisco
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.41 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco
5:0
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal Limeno 57 / 100
Fuerte San Francisco 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Limeno Fuerte San Francisco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Limeno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal Limeno scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Fuerte San Francisco conceded in 85% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Municipal Limeno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Municipal Limeno VS Fuerte San Francisco
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal Limeno

(Home)
01 Nov
Metapan
1 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Oct
Municipal Limeno
3 : 3
Cacahuatique
17 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 2
Municipal Limeno
11 Oct
Municipal Limeno
2 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
04 Oct
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Fuerte San Francisco

(Away)
01 Nov
Fuerte San Francisco
3 : 4
Aguila
25 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 2
Atletico Balboa
18 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
10 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
2 : 1
Cacahuatique
04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 17 9 6 2 30:13 33
2 FAS 18 9 5 4 29:19 32
3 Metapan 18 9 4 5 24:19 31
4 Aguila 18 8 6 4 34:24 30
5 Inter Santa Tecla 18 6 9 3 24:16 27
6 Platense Municipal 18 7 6 5 25:20 27
7 Alianza FC 17 5 8 4 23:22 23
8 Municipal Limeno 18 6 4 8 27:27 22
9 Atletico Balboa 18 4 5 9 17:28 17
10 Cacahuatique 18 3 7 8 19:29 16
11 Inca Aruba 18 4 4 10 13:32 16
12 Fuerte San Francisco 18 2 6 10 17:33 12
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)