Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal Limeno vs Inter Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Grueso J.
Own Goal
30' Event
Martinez J.
64'

AI Match Summary

Municipal Limeno in this Primera Division 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Municipal Limeno
30%
Draws
34%
Inter Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Municipal Limeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Municipal Limeno at 1.63 per game, Inter Santa Tecla at 1.38.
  • Win probability leans Municipal Limeno's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Municipal Limeno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 17%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Limeno Inter Santa Tecla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeno
2:1
May 8, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Inter Santa Tecla
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeno
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Inter Santa Tecla
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeno
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Limeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Inter Santa Tecla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal Limeno 36 / 100
Inter Santa Tecla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Limeno Inter Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Municipal Limeno scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Inter Santa Tecla conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Municipal Limeno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Municipal Limeno VS Inter Santa Tecla
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal Limeno

(Home)
25 Jul
FAS
3 : 1
Municipal Limeno
18 May
FAS
2 : 0
Municipal Limeno
15 May
Municipal Limeno
1 : 0
FAS
11 May
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
08 May
Municipal Limeno
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
Page 1 of 6

Inter Santa Tecla

(Away)
25 Jul
Atletico Balboa
0 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
11 May
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
08 May
Municipal Limeno
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
01 May
Zacatecoluca FC
2 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FAS3
Cacahuatique2
Inter Santa Tecla2
Municipal Limeno3
Luis Angel Firpo3
Metapan2
Alianza FC1
Aguila4
Semi-finals
FAS2
Municipal Limeno1
Luis Angel Firpo2
Aguila3
Final
FAS3
Aguila0