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Municipal Turrialba vs AD Sarchi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Nov 2, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Municipal Turrialba play AD Sarchi in the Liga de Ascenso. Municipal Turrialba are favorites here. Recently, Municipal Turrialba averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. AD Sarchi averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Municipal Turrialba won 0, AD Sarchi won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Municipal Turrialba and 1.00 for AD Sarchi. This points to a Municipal Turrialba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Municipal Turrialba
25%
Draws
15%
AD Sarchi
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Municipal Turrialba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Municipal Turrialba picked up more points recently compared to AD Sarchi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Municipal Turrialba Clean Sheet 23%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Turrialba AD Sarchi
Matches Played 10 26
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 11
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.46

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Municipal Turrialba
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Municipal Turrialba vs AD Sarchi
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Municipal Turrialba vs AD Sarchi
0:0
Sep 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Municipal Turrialba
0:0
Mar 6, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Municipal Turrialba
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal Turrialba 59 / 100
AD Sarchi 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Turrialba AD Sarchi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Turrialba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Municipal Turrialba & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Municipal Turrialba attacking → ← attacking AD Sarchi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 0.40 goals.

AD Sarchi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 32
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter San Carlos1493222:1230
2ADR Jicaral1475223:1126
3Quepos Cambute1455418:1720
4Cofutpa1453623:2418
5AD Sarchi1446415:1718
6Dep. Upala1444622:2316
7Santa Cruz1434710:2013
8Grecia1432922:3111
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Escorpiones1494131:1831
2Consultants Desamparados1474325:1825
3Cariari Pococi1446425:1818
4Carmelita1446414:1418
5Santa Ana1446416:1718
6CS Uruguay1435615:2414
7Pitbulls1426610:1512
8Aserri1433811:2312
9Limon Black Star00000:00