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Municipal Turrialba vs Santa Cruz

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Wed, Feb 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Municipal Turrialba host Santa Cruz in the Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026. Municipal Turrialba go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Municipal Turrialba at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; Santa Cruz at 1.32 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Municipal Turrialba have won 0 to Santa Cruz's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Municipal Turrialba. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Municipal Turrialba
25%
Draws
35%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Municipal Turrialba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Cruz have won more games recently than Municipal Turrialba.
  • Municipal Turrialba are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Municipal Turrialba Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Turrialba Santa Cruz
Matches Played 10 25
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Municipal Turrialba
0:0
Feb 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Municipal Turrialba vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Municipal Turrialba vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Municipal Turrialba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal Turrialba 40 / 100
Santa Cruz 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Turrialba Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Turrialba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Away concern: Santa Cruz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Municipal Turrialba VS Santa Cruz
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal Turrialba

(Home)

Santa Cruz

(Away)
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
23 Aug
ADR Jicaral
4 : 1
Santa Cruz
16 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
Grecia
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)