Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal vs Cartagines

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Municipal at 2.13 goals for, 0.25 against; Cartagines at 1.25 for, 0.5 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.75) point toward Municipal. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Municipal
17%
Draws
13%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartagines haven't matched Municipal's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Municipal taking it.
  • Municipal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Cartagines
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal 67 / 100
Cartagines 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Municipal stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cartagines let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Cartagines has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Municipal VS Cartagines
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal

(Home)
25 Jul
Municipal
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
24 May
Xelaju
1 : 2
Municipal
17 May
Municipal
4 : 1
Xelaju
10 May
Municipal
5 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
06 May
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 2
Municipal
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
25 Jul
Cartagines
3 : 1
Inter San Carlos
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju00000:00
2Alajuelense00000:00
3Luis Angel Firpo00000:00
4Diriangen00000:00
5Plaza Amador00000:00
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano00000:00
2Marathon00000:00
3Alianza FC00000:00
4Esteli00000:00
5Antigua00000:00
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saprissa00000:00
2Olimpia00000:00
3Alianza00000:00
4Deportivo Mixco00000:00
5UMECIT00000:00
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal00000:00
2Cartagines00000:00
3Motagua00000:00
4FAS00000:00
5Verdes00000:00
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)