Sport Picks
Municipal vs Cartagines
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City 
Match Events
23'
23'
Cordero R.
44'
44'
Mena J.
46'
46'
Sub
Franco J. In: Mendez J.
Out: Franco J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Cartagines haven't matched Municipal's recent run of results.
- 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Municipal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Municipal Clean Sheet 15%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Municipal | Cartagines |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 19 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Municipal vs Cartagines
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Municipal Compare
Top Goalscorer Mena J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Cartagines Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordero R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Municipal 35 / 100
Cartagines 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Municipal Cartagines
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartagines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Municipal's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Cartagines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.
Municipal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Municipal VS Cartagines
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Municipal
(Home) 14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2 Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2 Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0 Deportivo San Pedro
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1 Municipal
26 Aug
Municipal
1 : 1 Motagua
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2 Malacateco
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0 Deportivo San Pedro
26 Aug
Municipal
1 : 1 Motagua
23 Aug
Municipal
2 : 0 Xelaju
09 Aug
Municipal
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 3
Cartagines
(Away) 21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0 Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2 Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1 Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2 Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3 Cartagines
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0 Cartagines
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2 Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3 Cartagines
22 Aug
Escorpiones
1 : 4 Cartagines
16 Aug
Saprissa
3 : 2 Cartagines
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alajuelense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Diriangen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Herediano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Esteli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Antigua | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | UMECIT | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagines | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Motagua | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Municipal | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | FAS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 5 | Verdes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
