Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Franco J.
28' Event
Altan P.
31'
Urizar J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Municipal and Deportivo Mixco finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Municipal
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Municipal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Municipal a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Municipal Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 22 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco
5:0
May 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Municipal
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco
3:0
Mar 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Municipal
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Municipal
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Altan P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal 95 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Deportivo Mixco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Solid form: Municipal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Deportivo Mixco has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Municipal VS Deportivo Mixco
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Xelaju3
Marquense1
Comunicaciones4
Antigua3
Municipal3
Guastatoya0
Deportivo Mixco2
Coban Imperial2
Semi-finals
Xelaju4
Comunicaciones2
Municipal7
Deportivo Mixco0
Final
Xelaju2
Municipal6