Sport Picks
Municipal vs Malacateco
Guatemala
Liga Nacional Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City 
Match Events
26'
26'
Lopez E.
Penalty Missed
38'
38'
Quinones E.
46'
46'
Sub
Chun M. In: Cummings H.
Out: Chun M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional game between Municipal and Malacateco finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Municipal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Municipal come out ahead of Malacateco on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Municipal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Municipal | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 31 |
| Wins | 22 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.57 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Malacateco
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Malacateco
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Municipal
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Malacateco
4:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Municipal
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Municipal Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Samayoa N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Malacateco Compare
Top Goalscorer Quinones E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ochoa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Municipal 31 / 100
Malacateco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Municipal Malacateco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Municipal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Municipal scored in 80% of their last 35 games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Municipal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Malacateco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Municipal VS Malacateco
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Municipal
(Home) 14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2 Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2 Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0 Deportivo San Pedro
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1 Municipal
26 Aug
Municipal
1 : 1 Motagua
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2 Malacateco
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0 Deportivo San Pedro
26 Aug
Municipal
1 : 1 Motagua
23 Aug
Municipal
2 : 0 Xelaju
09 Aug
Municipal
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 4
Malacateco
(Away) 14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2 Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2 Antigua
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0 Suchitepequez
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Malacateco
24 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 0 Deportivo San Pedro
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2 Malacateco
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Malacateco
16 Aug
Comunicaciones
4 : 2 Malacateco
02 Aug
Guastatoya
4 : 0 Malacateco
20 Apr
Antigua
2 : 1 Malacateco
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Municipal | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 19 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Marquense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Aurora F.C. | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Xelaju | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
