Sport Picks
Municipal vs Malacateco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Guatemala
Liga Nacional Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City 
Match Events
26'
26'
Lopez E.
Penalty Missed
38'
38'
Quinones E.
46'
46'
Sub
Chun M. In: Cummings H.
Out: Chun M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional game between Municipal and Malacateco finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Municipal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Municipal come out ahead of Malacateco on wins alone.
- Municipal are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Municipal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Municipal | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.57 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Malacateco
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Malacateco
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Municipal
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Malacateco
4:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Municipal
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Municipal Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Samayoa N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Malacateco Compare
Top Goalscorer Quinones E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ochoa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Municipal 67 / 100
Malacateco 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Municipal Malacateco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Municipal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Municipal found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (35 games).
Malacateco let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Municipal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Municipal VS Malacateco
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Municipal
(Home) 01 Nov
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 0 Municipal
29 Oct
Municipal
3 : 1 Comunicaciones
24 Oct
Xelaju
1 : 0 Municipal
21 Oct
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 0 Municipal
19 Oct
Municipal
1 : 1 Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7
29 Oct
Municipal
3 : 1 Comunicaciones
19 Oct
Municipal
1 : 1 Guastatoya
11 Oct
Municipal
1 : 1 Marquense
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0 Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2 Malacateco
Page 1 of 4
Malacateco
(Away) 09 Nov
Antigua
2 : 0 Malacateco
03 Nov
Suchitepequez
1 : 0 Malacateco
29 Oct
Malacateco
0 : 2 Aurora F.C.
25 Oct
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 2 Malacateco
21 Oct
Malacateco
1 : 0 Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6
09 Nov
Antigua
2 : 0 Malacateco
03 Nov
Suchitepequez
1 : 0 Malacateco
25 Oct
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 2 Malacateco
15 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 1 Malacateco
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0 Malacateco
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33:21 | 38 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33:27 | 34 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 31 |
| 5 | Municipal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23:13 | 30 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:22 | 26 |
| 7 | Aurora F.C. | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 28:29 | 25 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Marquense | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18:25 | 25 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 24:28 | 23 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18:28 | 19 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20:40 | 12 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
