Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Munxar vs Nadur

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Yuri
50' Event
Barbosa M.
74' Event
Barbosa M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Nadur advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Munxar
15%
Draws
42%
Nadur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Munxar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Nadur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Nadur taking it.
  • Nadur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nadur, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Munxar Clean Sheet 10%
Nadur Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Munxar Nadur
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 2 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.9 2.53
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 3.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2018 FA Trophy
Munxar vs Nadur
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Munxar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Nadur Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barbosa M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.94
Avg xA / game 1.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Munxar 26 / 100
Nadur 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Munxar Nadur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nadur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nadur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Nadur has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Munxar scored in 50% of their last 10 games.

Scoring Trends

Munxar VS Nadur
0.67 Goals Scored 3.13
3.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Munxar

(Home)
13 Sept
Kercem Ajax
5 : 0
Munxar
07 Sept
Xbiex
1 : 2
Munxar
31 Aug
Munxar
0 : 4
Nadur
03 Sept
Mellieha
4 : 3
Munxar
21 Oct
Munxar
0 : 8
Gharghur
Page 1 of 2

Nadur

(Away)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Balzan FC -
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Sannat Lions 2
Xbiex 0
Marsaskala FC 0
Dingli Swallows 4
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Qrendi -
Gudja -
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Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
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Ghajnsielem 8
Oratory 0
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Xewkija -
Zebbug -
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Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
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Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
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Kercem Ajax -
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Kirkop -
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Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
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Senglea -
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Sliema -
Hamrun -
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Floriana -
Nadur 4
Munxar 0
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Zurrieq -
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Zabbar -
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Birkirkara -
Gzira -
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Luqa -
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Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
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Attard -
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Msida 0
Victoria Hotspurs 8
Swieqi -
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Melita -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
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Pembroke -
Mdina -
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Zebbug Rovers -
Xghajra -
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Gharb -
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Pieta -
Hibernians -
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Qormi -
San Gwann -
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Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 2
St. Lawrence 0
Mtarfa 0
Victoria Wanderers 10
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Fgura -
Lija -
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St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
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Mellieha -
Marsa -
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Xaghra -
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Qala Saints 1
Gharghur 3
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Valletta -
1/64-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Xewkija 2
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 1
Kirkop 2
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Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
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Senglea -
St. Andrews -
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Sliema -
Hamrun -
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Floriana -
Nadur 4
Zurrieq 0
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Zabbar -
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Birkirkara -
Gzira -
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Luqa -
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Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Attard 1
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Swieqi -
TBD -
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Melita -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
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Pembroke -
Mdina 1
Zebbug Rovers 0
Xghajra 1
Gharb 2
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Pieta -
Hibernians -
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Qormi -
San Gwann -
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Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
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St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
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Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
Xaghra 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Qrendi 3
Gudja 2
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 1
Xewkija 6
Zebbug 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Santa Lucia 2
Birzebbuga 3
Vittoriosa 2
Kirkop 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
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Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
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Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 7
Zabbar 0
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Luqa 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Swieqi 0
Melita 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
St. Venera 0
Pembroke 3
Mdina 2
Gharb 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann 2
Mgarr 1
Ghaxaq 1
Fgura 4
Lija 4
St. George's FC 0
Kalkara 0
Mellieha 2
Marsa 5
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Valletta -
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 5
Qrendi 1
Gudja 1
Xewkija 2
Zebbug 5
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 0
Tarxien 3
Mosta FC 3
Senglea 2
St. Andrews 0
Sliema 2
Hamrun 1
Floriana 0
Nadur 0
Birkirkara 4
Gzira 4
Rabat Ajax 0
Siggiewi 1
Melita 3
Zejtun 2
Pembroke 0
Mdina 1
Pieta 4
Hibernians 5
Qormi 1
San Gwann 0
Fgura 1
Lija 5
Mellieha 0
Marsa 0
Valletta 3
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 6
Xewkija 1
Zebbug 0
Tarxien 5
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 1
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 4
Melita 2
Zejtun 0
Pieta 2
Hibernians 4
Fgura 0
Lija 1
Valletta 7
Quarter-finals
Balzan FC 2
Tarxien 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 2
Pieta 1
Hibernians 2
Valletta 3
Semi-finals
Balzan FC 3
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Final
Balzan FC 5
Valletta 4