Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mura vs Bogojina

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2016/2017 Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
Mura Logo

Mura

9 - 0
FT
Bogojina Logo

Bogojina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2016/2017 game between Mura and Bogojina finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mura
20%
Draws
60%
Bogojina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bogojina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mura come out ahead of Bogojina on wins alone.
  • 20% — that's where the model lands on Mura taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mura here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mura Clean Sheet 16%
Bogojina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mura Bogojina
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 1
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.77 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2024 Slovenian Cup
Bogojina vs Mura
0:4
May 14, 2017 3. SNL - East
Mura vs Bogojina
9:0
Oct 30, 2016 3. SNL - East
Bogojina vs Mura
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mura 84 / 100
Bogojina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mura Bogojina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogojina let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Mura scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Away concern: Bogojina has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mura VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mura

(Home)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
29 Aug
Bravo
2 : 0
Mura
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
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Bogojina

(Away)
18 Sept
Bogojina
0 : 4
Mura
26 May
Bogojina
2 : 1
Radgona
19 May
NK Polana
7 : 2
Bogojina
13 May
Bogojina
1 : 5
Odranci
06 May
NK Carda Martjanci
0 : 1
Bogojina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nafta 26 21 2 3 82:17 65
2 Mura 26 20 3 3 100:17 63
3 Odranci 26 19 3 4 56:31 60
4 Beltinci 26 15 4 7 53:24 49
5 Ljutomer 26 13 2 11 48:39 41
6 Tromejnik 26 11 4 11 37:40 37
7 Hotiza 26 10 3 13 41:61 33
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 8 7 11 39:57 31
9 NK Polana 26 9 3 14 38:53 30
10 Rakican 26 8 4 14 31:61 28
11 Grad 26 7 4 15 26:55 25
12 Bogojina 26 7 4 15 22:65 25
13 Turnisce 26 6 4 16 28:50 22
14 Krizevci 26 3 3 20 23:54 12
Promotion - 2. SNL 2017/2018 (Main)