Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muranga vs Bandari

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
56' Event
67' Event

AI Match Summary

Bandari in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bandari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Muranga
15%
Draws
34%
Bandari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Muranga average 1.32 goals a game right now, well clear of Bandari's 1.04.
  • Win probability leans Muranga's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bandari have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Muranga Clean Sheet 68%
Bandari Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muranga Bandari
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Muranga vs Bandari
2:3
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Bandari vs Muranga
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Bandari
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Bandari vs Muranga
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Premier League
Muranga vs Bandari
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muranga 46 / 100
Bandari 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muranga Bandari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muranga found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (25 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Muranga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bandari's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Muranga VS Bandari
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Muranga

(Home)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3
Mahia
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
06 May
Police FC
2 : 1
Muranga
Page 1 of 5

Bandari

(Away)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0
Tusker
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)