Sport Picks
Muranga vs Bidco United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kenya
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
5'
5'
Osama P.
55'
55'
Akite C.
87'
87'
Imbiakha J.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Muranga and Bidco United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muranga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muranga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Muranga come out ahead of Bidco United on wins alone.
- Model gives Muranga a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Muranga Clean Sheet 68%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Muranga | Bidco United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.28 | 0.90 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Premier League
Bidco United vs Muranga
0:2
Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Muranga vs Bidco United
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Bidco United
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Muranga
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
Muranga vs Bidco United
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Muranga Compare
Top Goalscorer Osama P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Imbiakha J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64
Bidco United Compare
Top Goalscorer Akite C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Muranga 68 / 100
Bidco United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Muranga Bidco United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Muranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Muranga scored in 83% of their last 23 outings.
Bidco United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Muranga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Muranga VS Bidco United
1.13 Goals Scored 0.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Muranga
(Home) 31 May
Muranga
2 : 1 Mara Sugar
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2 Muranga
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3 Mahia
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0 Kakamega Homeboyz
06 May
Police FC
2 : 1 Muranga
Page 1 of 5
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1 Mara Sugar
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3 Mahia
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0 Kakamega Homeboyz
19 Apr
Muranga
2 : 4 Nairobi United
05 Apr
Muranga
0 : 2 Leopards
Page 1 of 3
Bidco United
(Away) 31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2 Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
24 Apr
Posta Rangers
1 : 1 Bidco United
18 Apr
Mathare United
3 : 0 Bidco United
28 Mar
Bandari
1 : 0 Bidco United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
