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Muras United vs Gagra

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Muras United and Gagra finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Muras United
35%
Draws
42%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gagra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Muras United come out ahead of Gagra on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gagra a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Muras United Clean Sheet 15%
Gagra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muras United Gagra
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.32
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Muras United vs Gagra
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muras United 23 / 100
Gagra 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muras United Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gagra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muras United's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Gagra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Muras United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muras United VS Gagra
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Muras United

(Home)
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
06 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Asia Talas
02 Aug
Asiagoal Bishkek
1 : 1
Muras United
24 Jul
Muras United
0 : 0
Bishkek City
14 Jul
Muras United
3 : 2
Bars
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Gagra

(Away)
08 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 2
Gagra
02 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 4
Gagra
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2
Gagra
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2
Urartu
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