Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muras United vs Ilbirs

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Karpuk I.
31' Event
Atabaev E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Muras United and Ilbirs finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Muras United
35%
Draws
48%
Ilbirs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ilbirs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Muras United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ilbirs's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Muras United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Muras United Clean Sheet 20%
Ilbirs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muras United Ilbirs
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 13
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Premier Liga
Muras United vs Ilbirs
1:1
May 2, 2026 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Muras United
0:2
Aug 21, 2025 Premier Liga
Muras United vs Ilbirs
4:1
May 11, 2025 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Muras United
1:3
Oct 29, 2024 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Muras United
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muras United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ilbirs Compare

Top Goalscorer Karpuk I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muras United 24 / 100
Ilbirs 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muras United Ilbirs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilbirs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Muras United scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ilbirs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Muras United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muras United VS Ilbirs
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Muras United

(Home)
19 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Ilbirs
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
06 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Asia Talas
02 Aug
Asiagoal Bishkek
1 : 1
Muras United
24 Jul
Muras United
0 : 0
Bishkek City
Page 1 of 6

Ilbirs

(Away)
19 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Ilbirs
15 Aug
Ilbirs
3 : 0
Dordoi Bishkek
11 Aug
Ilbirs
1 : 1
Asia Talas
07 Aug
Talant
0 : 2
Ilbirs
01 Aug
Ilbirs
4 : 0
Aldier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 19 12 4 3 52:28 40
2 Muras United 19 11 7 1 38:17 40
3 Alga Bishkek 19 11 6 2 35:18 39
4 Ozgon 19 12 2 5 39:23 38
5 Asia Talas 20 10 7 3 43:32 37
6 Alay Osh 19 11 4 4 29:20 37
7 Dordoi Bishkek 20 7 4 9 30:28 25
8 Ilbirs 21 5 9 7 27:33 24
9 Aldier 20 6 6 8 28:35 24
10 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 19 7 2 10 25:32 23
11 Toktogul 20 7 2 11 22:32 23
12 Talant 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
13 Bishkek City 19 4 8 7 16:23 20
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 19 3 8 8 22:32 17
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 20 2 5 13 18:37 11
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 19 1 4 14 18:50 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)