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Murchante vs CD Corellano

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 game between Murchante and CD Corellano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murchante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Murchante
15%
Draws
27%
CD Corellano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Murchante carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Murchante taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Murchante Clean Sheet 68%
CD Corellano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murchante CD Corellano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs CD Corellano
2:1
Nov 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Murchante
0:0
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Murchante
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs CD Corellano
3:2
Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Murchante
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murchante 95 / 100
CD Corellano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murchante CD Corellano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murchante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Corellano let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Murchante stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Murchante found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Murchante VS CD Corellano
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Murchante

(Home)
30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0
CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0
Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1
Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

CD Corellano

(Away)
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 2
Ezcabarte
23 Apr
CD Beti Onak
5 : 3
CD Corellano
09 Apr
CD Corellano
2 : 1
Valle Egues
03 Apr
CD Corellano
0 : 2
Azkoyen
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)