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Murchante vs Pamplona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Murchante Logo

Murchante

0 - 1
FT
Pamplona Logo

Pamplona

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pamplona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pamplona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Murchante
35%
Draws
15%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pamplona lately — more wins on the board than Murchante.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Murchante taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Murchante Clean Sheet 14%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murchante Pamplona
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.97 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Murchante
0:0
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Pamplona
0:1
May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Pamplona
2:1
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Murchante
2:1
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Pamplona
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murchante 75 / 100
Pamplona 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murchante Pamplona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murchante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Murchante remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Murchante found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Pamplona let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pamplona
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Murchante

(Home)
30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0
CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0
Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1
Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

Pamplona

(Away)
03 Oct
Pamplona
0 : 0
Huarte
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)