Sport Picks
Murcia vs Gimnastic de Tarragona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia 
Match Events
13'
13'
Bosilj D.
Assist: Mier J.
27'
27'
Montalvo M.
41'
41'
Mier J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Murcia and Gimnastic de Tarragona finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murcia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murcia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Murcia come out ahead of Gimnastic de Tarragona on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Murcia's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Murcia | Gimnastic de Tarragona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Murcia
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
3:2
Jun 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Murcia vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
0:1
May 31, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Murcia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Murcia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bosilj D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gil O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Murcia 95 / 100
Gimnastic de Tarragona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Murcia Gimnastic de Tarragona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gimnastic de Tarragona has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.
Attacking prowess: Murcia scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Murcia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Murcia VS Gimnastic de Tarragona
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Murcia
(Home) 07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0 Murcia
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1 CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1 CE Europa
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0 Teruel
01 Aug
Murcia
2 : 1 Eldense
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0 Eldense
Page 1 of 3
Gimnastic de Tarragona
(Away) 04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
26 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 2 Sant Andreu
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2 Algeciras
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
22 Aug
Espanyol B
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
19 Aug
Villarreal B
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Jaen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Hercules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 9 | UD Ibiza | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Huesca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Atl. Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic de Tarragona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 16 | Aguilas FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 18 | CE Europa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:12 | 2 |
| 20 | Torremolinos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | 1 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
