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Murcia vs Melilla

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Murcia and Melilla finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Murcia
22%
Draws
18%
Melilla
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Melilla haven't matched Murcia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Murcia a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Murcia Clean Sheet 17%
Melilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murcia Melilla
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Melilla
3:1
Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Melilla
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Melilla
2:0
Jan 14, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Melilla vs Murcia
0:0
Aug 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Melilla
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murcia 57 / 100
Melilla 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murcia Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murcia found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Melilla has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Murcia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Murcia VS Melilla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Murcia

(Home)
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
10 May
Murcia
1 : 2
Betis B
03 May
Sabadell
2 : 2
Murcia
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Melilla

(Away)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4
Linares
19 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
Melilla
12 Apr
Melilla
0 : 1
Aguilas FC
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1
Melilla
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