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Murcia vs Melilla

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Murcia and Melilla finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Murcia
15%
Draws
39%
Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Melilla haven't matched Murcia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Murcia Clean Sheet 20%
Melilla Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murcia Melilla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Melilla
3:1
Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Melilla
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Melilla
2:0
Jan 14, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Melilla vs Murcia
0:0
Aug 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Melilla
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murcia 31 / 100
Melilla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murcia Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murcia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Melilla has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Murcia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Murcia VS Melilla
1.88 Goals Scored 1.4
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Murcia

(Home)
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1
CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
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Melilla

(Away)
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2
Melilla
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
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