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Murcia vs Zaragoza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Murcia host Zaragoza in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Zaragoza have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Murcia have conceded 1.18 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Murcia have won 0 to Zaragoza's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2023, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.56, favoring Zaragoza. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Murcia
15%
Draws
53%
Zaragoza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zaragoza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Zaragoza.
  • Win probability leans Zaragoza's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Murcia Clean Sheet 15%
Zaragoza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murcia Zaragoza
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Zaragoza
0:1
May 25, 2014 LaLiga2
Murcia vs Zaragoza
1:1
Dec 22, 2013 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Murcia
0:0
Feb 28, 2009 LaLiga2
Murcia vs Zaragoza
1:4
Sep 27, 2008 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Murcia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murcia 27 / 100
Zaragoza 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murcia Zaragoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaragoza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murcia scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Zaragoza conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Murcia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Murcia VS Zaragoza
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Murcia

(Home)
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Murcia
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1
CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
Page 1 of 7

Zaragoza

(Away)
04 Oct
Zaragoza
4 : 1
Teruel
25 Sept
UD Ibiza
0 : 2
Zaragoza
20 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
Antequera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
8 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 UD Ibiza 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
11 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
12 Real Madrid B 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)